Pre-tourney Rankings
Patriot League
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
85 Bucknell 100.0%   13   26 - 8 15 - 3 26 - 8 15 - 3 +5.8      +3.2 87 +2.6 95 70.5 106 +5.1 97 +4.6 1
133 Lehigh 0.0%   19 - 12 12 - 6 19 - 12 12 - 6 +1.7      +0.6 154 +1.1 134 72.4 70 +1.0 143 -0.4 3
200 Boston University 0.0%   17 - 14 12 - 6 17 - 14 12 - 6 -2.2      -2.4 231 +0.2 169 70.7 103 -1.9 198 +0.2 2
210 Navy 0.0%   15 - 16 10 - 8 15 - 16 10 - 8 -3.0      -3.7 267 +0.8 152 60.2 327 -3.7 224 -2.8 4
222 Holy Cross 0.0%   15 - 17 9 - 9 15 - 17 9 - 9 -3.9      -5.1 298 +1.2 131 54.3 349 -3.5 220 -4.2 5
251 Loyola Maryland 0.0%   14 - 16 8 - 10 14 - 16 8 - 10 -5.4      -4.3 279 -1.1 200 62.6 296 -4.2 232 -5.4 7
254 Army 0.0%   12 - 19 6 - 12 12 - 19 6 - 12 -5.4      -5.2 301 -0.3 182 75.4 34 -7.1 269 -8.5 8
270 Colgate 0.0%   9 - 22 8 - 10 9 - 22 8 - 10 -6.6      -3.5 262 -3.2 259 61.2 317 -8.6 296 -5.3 6
304 American 0.0%   8 - 22 5 - 13 8 - 22 5 - 13 -9.1      -5.9 309 -3.2 260 59.6 332 -10.6 318 -9.6 10
330 Lafayette 0.0%   8 - 21 5 - 13 8 - 21 5 - 13 -12.2      -5.6 307 -6.7 327 70.9 98 -9.7 306 -9.1 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Bucknell 1.0 100.0
Lehigh 2.0 100.0
Boston University 2.0 100.0
Navy 4.0 100.0
Holy Cross 5.0 100.0
Loyola Maryland 6.0 100.0
Army 8.0 100.0
Colgate 6.0 100.0
American 9.0 100.0
Lafayette 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Bucknell 15 - 3 100.0
Lehigh 12 - 6 100.0
Boston University 12 - 6 100.0
Navy 10 - 8 100.0
Holy Cross 9 - 9 100.0
Loyola Maryland 8 - 10 100.0
Army 6 - 12 100.0
Colgate 8 - 10 100.0
American 5 - 13 100.0
Lafayette 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Bucknell 100.0% 100.0
Lehigh
Boston University
Navy
Holy Cross
Loyola Maryland
Army
Colgate
American
Lafayette


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Bucknell 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.0 8.1 69.7 22.2 0.0
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bucknell 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 12.1% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 12.1% 0.1 87.9 12.1
Sweet Sixteen 2.2% 0.0 97.8 2.2
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0